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By Patrick McKeough, TSInetwork.ca
Special to the Financial Independence Hub
Today’s tip: “Investor shorthand can provide a useful guide to investment information, but it can also oversimplify analysis and events and steer investors into bad decisions.”
Investor shorthand can help you think about and talk about large blocks of investment information. But it may also lead you to make associations and come to conclusions that can cost you money.
For example, think about the common investor shorthand term, low-p/e stocks. It encompasses four statistics: price per share; per-share earnings; the p/e (the ratio of a stock’s price to its per-share earnings); and low p/e (which suggests a normal range exists for p/e’s generally, or for p/e’s of stocks of a particular type or description, and that these stocks are near the lower half of the range).
Some investors, beginners especially, see special appeal in stocks with low p/e’s. They jump to the conclusion that the p/e is low because the “p” or stock is low, and that this is a sure sign of a bargain. When you use that term to generalize, however, you can lose sight of the fact that p/e’s can be (or can seem) low for all sorts of reasons.
For example, maybe the “e” or earnings is temporarily high, due to unusual factors that will soon revert to normal or worse. Or, the stock price may be low, and headed lower, due to negative conditions or trends in the company or its industry.
Of course, many experienced investors understand how the use of shorthand investment terms can warp investor perceptions, and lead them to take on unwanted risk. But they fail to see the upside-down version of that risk in newer, poorly-defined terms. One good example is “bubble”.
