General

Weekly Wrap: MoneySense’s 2016 ETF All-Stars; BMO and Horizons ETF Outlooks for 2016

ETF word on the green enter keyboard image with hi-res rendered artwork that could be used for any graphic design.Lots of ETF developments to report as we close out January. The February/March 2016 issue of MoneySense magazine includes the latest edition of a feature I spearheaded called the ETF All-Stars.

The focus is on low-cost broadly diversified “plain-vanilla” ETFs but we also included several “Satellite” picks, some of them low-volatility products covering Canada, the US, EAFE and Emerging Markets.

Our six panelists strive not to change  the “All-star” lineup too often, since the idea is to minimize turnover and taxes, while having low-cost portfolios that can be bought and held over the proverbial long run. Even so, each year there there are inevitably a few substitutions and replacements and this time around we modestly expanded the number of “All-Stars.”

BMO’s ETF Outlook 2016

Meanwhile on Friday, BMO Global Asset Management released its ETF Outlook 2016. It noted the ETF industry had another record-breaking year in 2015: globally it grew to more than US$2.9 trillion as of December 2015, with a record US$372 billion in new assets the last year.

The Canadian ETF industry also had an historic year, with a record $C16.3 billion in inflows, and assets hitting just under $C90 billion, which is twice as much as five years ago.

Market volatility and ETFs

The report reprises the market volatility of 2015, notable the China-centric selloff of August 24, the surprise non-hike of interest rates by the Fed on Sept. 16th, and its finally raising them by 25 basis points on December 16. And of course there was the continued slide in the price of oil, which hurts resource-based economies like Canada.

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Record cash levels in bear market suggests buying opportunity for stocks?

Stock market trend business concept and financial prediction uncertainty symbol as a heard of bulls and bears running towards each other to set the direction of an economic forecast.
Is Cash your no-man’s land between battle of the bulls and bears? Try not to get trampled!

Here’s my latest Financial Post blog, which looks at the record amounts of cash scared Canadian investors are sitting on during this bear market. For full blog, click on the coloured headline here: When Volatility Scares You, is it Time for Investors to Buy or Sell?

The blog accompanies Garry Marr’s piece on the CIBC World Markets report released Tuesday: Ocean of Fear: Canadian investors sitting on record cash pile risk billion in lost returns.

Since markets got off to their worst January in decades, per force the Hub has been running several blogs on the topic of volatility. See also from the past week:

Hedging in the Retirement Risk Zone (which is mentioned in today’s FP blog).

Volatile, Unpredictable and entirely normal.

Behavioural Finance: Coping with Losses.

Indexers are terrible at indexing

Cartoon Humor Concept Illustration of Couch Potato Saying or Proverb

Despite all of the evidence that low-cost passive investing outperforms actively managed portfolios, many investors still cling to the belief that an active approach can help steer them through turbulent times in the market.

Even investors who have taken the plunge into index funds and ETFs can’t help themselves when faced with uncertainty. Emotions take over, as do our instincts to tinker with our investments to try and optimize performance.

Earlier this month, Dan Bortolotti updated the investment returns from the ever-popular Canadian Couch Potato model portfolios.

Despite Dan’s best efforts to explain that these new and simplified portfolios should be used as part of a long-term investment strategy, the overwhelming number of comments from readers suggests that it’s nearly impossible for indexers to simply set-it and forget it.

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Volatile, Unpredictable … and entirely Normal

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Kara Lilly

By Kara Lilly, CFA

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Stock markets have been jittery lately.

After improved sentiment last quarter, investors now appear to have heightened concerns. Not only have fears around China resurfaced, stoked in part by downbeat economic data and circuit breaker sell-offs, but weak global commodity prices also continue to elicit concern. Oil now sits below $30 per barrel, while the VIX index, a measure of volatility in the S&P 500, remains at an elevated level (approximately 29).

A lot has been going on in the global economy…enough that some shops have issued dire warnings of the days ahead. But while recent events do appear negative—insofar as they represent bad cards that have come up—they are not wholly surprising; the risks around China and weak commodity prices have been known for some time. Moreover, they warrant neither a kneejerk reaction nor panic.

Investor apprehension in this environment is both understandable and natural —and we must ensure it does not hijack us.

Markets are always volatile and unpredictable

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Is it Work or is it Passion?

Work or Passion 2
Billy and Akaisha Kaderli

By Billy and Akaisha Kaderli

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

While taking a break from the sun and surf, relaxing in my hotel room in a tiny beach town on Mexico’s rugged Pacific Coast, my cell phone rang.

“Howdy, Beautiful!” my friend of four decades shouted from snow country, thousands of miles away. “Been watchin’ your website for years and I read all your stories. Love ‘em. But I thought you were retired!

How many times over the twenty-plus years since we left the conventional work force have we heard that challenge? Our responses have ranged from surprised silence to justification of our volunteer work, to just laughing out loud.

We run a popular website, photograph our travels and share our lifestyle adventures with people like you. Some think that by doing this, we have somehow become unfit to call ourselves “retired.”

Once findependent, you’re free to choose how to spend your time

Today I would like to pose this question to you: “Once you leave the mainstream labor-for-paycheck world and become financially independent, aren’t you free to choose what you do with your time? When is something considered work, and when are you pursuing a passion?Continue Reading…